Kyrie Crossover ( @zaytradellc )Unlocking Market Dynamics: Kyrie Crossover Script by @zaytradellc
personalized trading success with the "Kyrie Crossover" script, meticulously crafted by @zaytrade. This innovative Pine Script, tailored to the birthdays of Kyrie and the script creator, combines the power of technical analysis with a touch of personalization to revolutionize your trading experience.
**Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Crossover Strategy:**
At the heart of the "Kyrie Crossover" script lies a sophisticated EMA crossover strategy. By utilizing a 10-period EMA and a 323-period EMA (symbolizing long term price action ), the strategy effectively captures market trends with precision and insight.
- **Short-Term EMA (10-period):** This EMA reacts swiftly to recent price changes, offering heightened sensitivity to short-term fluctuations. It excels in identifying immediate shifts in market sentiment, making it invaluable for pinpointing short-lived trends and potential reversal points.
- **Long-Term EMA (323-period):** In contrast, the long-term EMA provides a broader perspective by smoothing out short-term noise and focusing on longer-term trend direction. Its extended length filters out market noise effectively, providing a clear representation of the underlying trend's momentum and sustainability.
**Directional Movement Index (DMI) Metrics:**
The "Kyrie Crossover" script goes beyond traditional indicators by incorporating DMI metrics across multiple timeframes. By assessing trend strength and direction, traders gain valuable insights into market dynamics, allowing for informed decision-making.
**Simple Instructions to Profit:**
1. **Identify EMA Crossovers:** Look for instances where the short-term EMA (10-period) crosses above the long-term EMA (323-period) for a bullish signal, indicating a potential buying opportunity. Conversely, a crossover where the short-term EMA crosses below the long-term EMA signals a bearish trend and a potential selling opportunity.
2. **Confirm with DMI Metrics:** Validate EMA crossovers by checking DMI metrics across different timeframes (5 minutes, 15 minutes, 30 minutes, and 1 hour). Pay attention to color-coded indicators, with green indicating a bullish trend, red indicating a bearish trend, and white indicating no clear trend.
3. **Manage Risk:** Implement proper risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders and position sizing based on your risk tolerance and trading objectives.
4. **Stay Informed:** Regularly monitor market conditions and adjust your trading strategy accordingly based on new signals and emerging trends.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "the strat"
KT Litmus2
Hello everyone,
Recently I saw a very good indicator on TV called Ichimoku Oscillator. This is a K-line convergence and divergence indicator similar to MACD. After backtesting research, this indicator performs well on long-term trends.
Since it is an indicator, it is made into a strategy category. Several optimizations have also been made.
This strategy takes into account the following market factors:
EMA -> Trend
Fast line - slow line -> moving average
EMA Squeeze -> Momentum Conversion, Trend
ATR -> Noise Reduction
How does it compare to the original indicator?
Optimized background display so the canvas doesn't feel cluttered with excessive colors.
Optimized part of the position reduction logic so that too many trading signals will not affect the performance of the strategy.
NOTE: As you can see, there are potential improvements that can be made by merging volumes.
Signal
Input level -> Kinetic energy enhancement, +4 long, -4 short
Partial exit level -> moving average (EMA | fast and slow line) crossing, trend unchanged
All exit levels -> trend conversion
Risk Management
"Trend Stop Loss" and "Momentum Take Profit" are used here.
Trend stop loss: Use the conversion of the strategy trend parameter wave range to close the order.
Momentum take profit: take advantage of the weakening or reverse trend momentum of the strategy to take profit.
As described, the strategy has obvious advantages in trend trading, but in volatile markets, stop loss may be triggered due to frequent signals.
Now, a set of knowledge is provided for the inexperienced reader.
MACD usually consists of three components. The MACD line is the fast exponential moving average (usually taken on the 12th day) minus the slow exponential moving average (usually taken on the 26th day), generally called the difference (DIF). The second line is the signal line, which is the exponential moving average of DIF (usually 9 days), generally called DEA. The last component is the MACD histogram, whose value is the difference between DIF and DEA. However, the time value of the MACD indicator can also be adjusted according to the trader's preference and trading category.
The underlying logic of DIF is that the short-term exponential moving average reflects current price movements, while the long-term EMA reflects earlier price movements. Therefore, if there is a large gap between these two EMAs, then the market is trending up or down. While the MACD histogram is oscillating around the zero line, indicating the strength of the trend.
EMA: Exponential Moving Average; similar to a simple moving average but exponentially weights the input data.
Sincerely,
salute
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Acknowledgments:
@LonesomeTheBlue
renew
March 14
Strategies for increasing Python version
Inside Candle StrategyIntroduction
The Inside Candle Breakout Strategy leverages the concept of inside candles as a primary signal for potential breakouts. Unlike common trend-following or scalping strategies, this method focuses on the volatility squeeze indicated by inside candles and aims to capture the momentum that follows these periods of consolidation. The strategy's originality lies in its specific integration of timeframes for signal detection and its application across diverse market conditions without relying on conventional trend indicators.
Strategy Description and Mechanics
Inside Candle Identification: At the heart of this strategy is the detection of inside candles, defined as candles fully contained within the range of the preceding candle. This pattern signifies a temporary balance between buyers and sellers, often preceding significant price movements. The strategy scans for these candles within a user-specified timeframe in the input section of the settings of the strategy, allowing for tailored signal generation based on individual trading preferences.
Entry Points and Market Entries: Upon identifying an inside candle and only once this candle closes, the strategy prepares to enter a trade in the direction of the breakout. Trades are executed in the timeframe selected on the chart, ensuring that entry points are aligned with real-time market movements. This process highlights the strategy's adaptability, making it suitable for various trading styles, from day trading to swing trading.
Overlay Indicator for Enhanced Market Analysis: Accompanying the breakout signals is an overlay indicator comprising two moving averages and a volatility cloud. This feature serves as a secondary tool for market analysis, offering insights into the prevailing market trend and volatility levels. While it doesn't influence the entry or exit signals directly, it provides traders with additional context for refining their decisions, enhancing the strategy's utility. This assistance tool is composed by one moving average and a second line which is calculated adding or subtracting the historical volatility of the asset on the moving average, depending on his momentum.
Strategy Results and Commitment to Realism
Backtesting Protocol: In our commitment to transparency and realism, backtesting results are derived from a dataset that ensures a sufficient number of trades (over 100) to validate the strategy's effectiveness. This approach underscores our dedication to providing traders with reliable and actionable insights.
Risk Management and Trade Sizing: Recognizing the importance of sustainable trading practices, the strategy incorporates strict risk management guidelines. Trades are sized to ensure that only a small percentage of equity is risked on a single trade, adhering to widely accepted risk tolerance levels. The initial account size for this script is set to 10000$.
Strategy Defaults and Justification: The default properties of the strategy, including the risk-reward ratio, average length for moving averages, and other parameters, are carefully chosen based on extensive testing and analysis. These settings represent a balanced approach, aiming to optimize the strategy's performance across a variety of market conditions.
Strategy Components:
- Inside Candles: An inside candle occurs when a candle's high and low are completely contained within the high and low of the previous candle. This pattern indicates a period of consolidation or indecision in the market, often preceding a significant price movement. The strategy detects inside candles based on the user-selected timeframe, allowing traders to capture potential breakouts.
Indicator Overlays:
- Moving Average: A simple moving average (SMA) is calculated over a user-defined length (`Average Length`), providing a dynamic baseline to gauge the market's direction. The strategy offers an option (`Show Moving Average`) to display or hide this moving average on the chart, giving traders control over the visual complexity.
- Volatility Measurement: Alongside the moving average, the strategy assesses market volatility using the standard deviation of the closing prices over the same period defined by the `Average Length`. The moving average is adjusted upwards or downwards by this volatility measure, creating a dynamic channel that reflects the current market conditions.
- Color Gradients for Volatility: The strategy uses a color gradient to fill the area between the moving average and its volatility-adjusted counterpart. This gradient visually represents the volatility level, transitioning from gray (low volatility) to a lighter shade (higher volatility), aiding in the assessment of market sentiment and volatility.
Trading Entries:
- Long Entry: A long position is triggered when the closing price exceeds the high of an inside candle, indicating potential bullish momentum. The strategy places a stop-loss at the low of the inside candle and sets a take-profit level based on the predefined risk-reward ratio (`RR Ratio`).
- Short Entry: Conversely, a short position is initiated when the closing price falls below the low of an inside candle, suggesting bearish pressure. A stop-loss is set at the high of the inside candle, with the take-profit level adjusted according to the risk-reward ratio.
Customization Settings:
- Timeframe: Traders can select the desired timeframe for inside candle detection, tailoring the strategy to fit various trading styles and time horizons.
- RR Ratio: The risk-reward ratio is adjustable, allowing traders to manage the potential risk and return of each trade according to their risk tolerance.
- Average Length: This setting determines the period over which the moving average and volatility are calculated, affecting the sensitivity of the strategy to price movements.
- Visual Settings: Users can customize the appearance of the strategy on their charts, including the colors of the moving average and volatility lines, as well as the line width, enhancing chart readability and personal preference adherence.
Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk, and it is crucial for traders to conduct their own due diligence before engaging with any strategy. The Inside Candle Breakout Strategy is presented for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Self Optimizing ROC [Starbots]Self Optimizing Rate of Change (ROC) Strategy. (non-repainting)
Script constantly tests 15 different ROC parameter combinations for maximum profitability and trades based on the best performing combination.
You will notice that signal lines switch after a bar close sometimes, this is when the strategy optimizes to the better combination and change plots, strategy is dynamic.
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The Rate-of-Change (ROC) indicator, which is also referred to as Momentum, is a pure momentum oscillator that measures the percent change in price from one period to the next. The ROC calculation compares the current price with the price “n” periods ago. The plot forms an oscillator that fluctuates above and below the zero line as the rate of change moves from positive to negative. As a momentum oscillator, ROC signals include centerline crossovers, divergences, and overbought-oversold readings.
ROC = (Close - Close n periods ago) / (Close n periods ago) * 100
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The logic of self - optimizing:
This script is always backtesting 15 different combinations of ROC settings in the background and saves the net. profit gained for every single one of them, then strategy selects and use the best performing combination of settings currently available for you to trade.
It's recalculating on every bar close - if one of the parameters starts performing better than others - have a higher net profit gain (it's literally like running 15 backtests with different settings in the background) strategy switches to that parameter and continues trading like that until one of the other indicator parameters starts performing better again and switches to that settings.
We are optimizing our strategy based on 15 different 'lengths' or also called 'periods' of ROC.
Inputs (ROC period) : (you don't need to change them, you have a nice wide variety of periods)
🔴Roc (default=9) = 5
🟢Roc2 = 6
🔵Roc3 = 7
🟡Roc4 = 8
🟣Roc5 = 9
🟠Roc6 = 10
🔴Roc7 = 11
🟢Roc8 = 12
🔵Roc9 = 13
🟡Roc10 = 14
🟣Roc11 = 15
🟠Roc12 = 16
🟡Roc13 = 17
🟣Roc14 = 18
🟠Roc15 = 20
Backtester in the background works like this:
backtest ROC1 => save net. profit
backtest ROC2 => save net. profit ;
backtest ROC3 => save net. profit ;
..........
..........
backtest ROC15 => save net. profit ;
=>
It will backtest 15 different ROC parameters and save their profits.
Your strategy then trades based on the best performing (highest net.profit) ROC Setting currently available. It will check the calculations and backtest them on every new bar close - it's like running 15 strategies at time, and manually selecting the best performing one.
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If you wish to use it as INDICATOR - turn on 'Recalculate after every tick' in Properties tab to have this script updating constantly and use it as a normal Indicator tool for manual trading.
-- Noise Filter - This will punish the tiny trades made by certain parameters and give more advantage to big average trades. It's basically normal fee calculation, it will deduct 0.xx % fee from every trade when optimizing. You usually want it to have the same number as your fees on exchange. Large number will choose big long swing trades, small number will prioritize small scalping trades.
-- Turn on ROC Combination Profits and spot the worst/best performing combination. You can change periods to get the best performance after checking this table stats.
-- Backtesting Range - backtest within your desired time window. Example: 'from 01 / 01 /2020 to 01 / 01 /2023'.
-- Optimizing range - you can decrease the amount of bars/data for optimizing script. This way you can keep it up to date to more recent market by selecting optimizing range to optimize it just from the recent 3-6months of data for example. Strategy before this selected range will normally trade (backtest) based on the first ROC period ( 'Roc(default=9)' Input) parameter in your menu if you have Optimizing Range turned on.
**** I recommend 'Optimizing Range' to be turned off, use max amount of available bars in your history for optimization script.
-- Strategy is trading on the bar close without repaint. You can trade Long-Sell or Long- Short. Alerts available, insert webhook messages.
-- Turn on Profit Calendar for better overview of how your strategy performs monthly/annualy
-- Recommended ROC periods: from 5 to 24.
-- Recommended Sources : close, hlc3, hlcc4
-- Recommended Chart Timeframe : 4h +
-- Notes window : add your custom comments here or save your webhook messages inside here
-- Trading Session: in a session, you have to specify the time range for every day. It will trade only within this window and close trades when it's out. Session from 9am to 5pm will look like that: 0900-1700 or 7am to 4:30pm 0700-1630. After the colon, you can specify days of the week for your trading session. 1234567 trading all days, 23456 – Monday to Friday ('1 is Sunday here'). 0000-0000:1234567 by default will trade every day nonstop. 00.00am to 00.00pm and 1234567 every day of the week for example - Cryptocurrencies.
This script is simple to use for any trader as it saves a lot of time for searching good parameters on your own. It's self-optimizing and adjusting to the markets on the go.
Aroon and ASH strategy - ETHERIUM [IkkeOmar]Intro:
This post introduces a Pine Script strategy, as an example if anyone needs a push to get started. This example is a strategy on ETH, obviously it isn't a good strategy, and I wouldn't share my own good strategies because of alpha decay. This strategy combines two technical indicators: Aroon and Absolute Strength Histogram (ASH).
Overview:
The strategy employs the Aroon indicator alongside the Absolute Strength Histogram (ASH) to determine market trends and potential trade setups. Aroon helps identify the strength and direction of a trend, while ASH provides insights into the strength of momentum. By combining these indicators, the strategy aims to capture profitable trading opportunities in Ethereum markets. Normally when developing strats using indicators, you want to find some good indicators, but you NEED to understand their strengths and weaknesses, other indicators can be incorporated to minimize the downs of another indicator. Try to look for synergy in your indicators!
Indicator settings:
Aroon Indicator:
- Two sets of parameters are used for the Aroon indicator:
- For Long Positions: Aroon periods are set to 56 (upper) and 20 (lower).
- For Short Positions: Aroon periods are set to 17 (upper) and 55 (lower).
Absolute Strength Histogram (ASH):
ASH is calculated with a length of 9 bars using the closing price as the data source.
Trading Conditions:
The strategy incorporates specific conditions to initiate and exit trades:
Start Date:
Traders can specify the start date for backtesting purposes.
Trade Direction:
Traders can select the desired trade direction: Long, Short, or Both.
Entry and Exit Conditions:
1. Long Position Entry: A long position is initiated when the Aroon indicator crosses over (crossover) the lower Aroon threshold, indicating a potential uptrend.
2. Long Position Exit: A long position is closed when the Aroon indicator crosses under (crossunder) the lower Aroon threshold.
3. Short Position Entry: A short position is initiated when the Aroon indicator crosses under (crossunder) the upper Aroon threshold, signaling a potential downtrend.
4. Short Position Exit: A short position is closed when the Aroon indicator crosses over (crossover) the upper Aroon threshold.
Disclaimer:
THIS ISN'T AN OPTIMAL STRATEGY AT ALL! It was just an old project from when I started learning pine script!
The backtest doesn't promise the same results in the future, always do both in-sample and out-of-sample testing when backtesting a strategy. And make sure you forward test it as well before implementing it!
[strategy][1H] SPY slow stochastics
SPY slow stochastics
Overview
The "SPY Auto RSI Stochastics" strategy is designed to leverage a combination of Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic indicators to identify potential entry and exit points in trading the SPY $SP:SPX.
The technicals:
A simple yet effective strategy for identifying (reversal) trends on SPY (or any asset).
The logic is as follows:
1. Slow stochastics are effective at predicting momentum. They can also be used to effectively identify reversals.
2. A combination of slow and fast RSI (along with an SMA for the fast RSI) can be used to see potential changes in the directional trend of the underlying asset.
3. In order to reduce noise, a band in the middle of RSI values is ignored; think of this as the price converging and potential explosions (sometimes fake) on either side.
4. Outside this noise band, a crossover of fast RSI on slow RSI indicates an upward trend incoming.
5. A crossunder of fast RSI on slow RSI indicates a downward trend incoming.
Strategy Specific Notes -
1. Load this strategy on SPREADEX:SPX on an hourly chart for the best results.
2. This is a generic strategy, use it on anything - index, stocks, etc. You will need to adjust the parameters for the best results.
3. The RSI Upper defines the cutoff for two things -- threshold for entering a long AND exit signal for short. Likewise for RSI Lower.
4. To have alerts on the strategy, add this to your chart, be content with the backtesting results, select "strategy tester", the alert icon, replace the message body with "{{strategy.order.alert_message}}" without the ".
5. In my experience, the strategy won't be immediately profitable upon a signal but it does get there in the backtested results. Intuitively, this makes sense. Reversals take some time to kick in completely.
Inputs
- **slowRSILength**: Length parameter for the slow RSI calculation.
- **fastRSILength**: Length parameter for the fast RSI calculation.
- **smaRSILength**: Length parameter for the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the fast RSI.
- **RSIUpperThreshold**: Upper threshold for the RSI, used in exit conditions.
- **RSILowerThreshold**: Lower threshold for the RSI, used in exit conditions.
- **RSIUpperDeadzone**: Upper deadzone threshold for the RSI.
- **RSILowerDeadzone**: Lower deadzone threshold for the RSI.
Strategy Logic
- **RSI Calculation**: The script calculates both slow and fast RSI values based on the provided lengths.
- **Entry Condition**: Entry conditions for long and short positions are based on the crossing of fast RSI over slow RSI and SMA RSI, respectively, along with avoidance of RSI deadzones and validation of trade time.
- **Exit Condition**: Exit conditions for both long and short positions are based on crossing RSI thresholds or opposite entry conditions.
Trade Management
- **Position Entry**: Long and short positions are entered based on predefined entry conditions.
- **Position Exit**: Positions are exited based on predefined exit conditions.
- **Alerts**: The script provides alert messages for entry and exit points.
Plotting
- **Slow RSI**: Plots the slow RSI on the chart.
- **SMA RSI**: Plots the Simple Moving Average of fast RSI on the chart.
Example Usage
The defaults work well for SPY on a 1H timeframe.
If you apply this to anything else DAX, EUSTX50, FTSE, CAC (these are what i have); tweak the input parameters.
Plotting
plot(slowRSI, "Slow RSI", color=color.green) //or fastRSI
plot(smaRSI, "SMA RSI", color=color.white)
Conclusion
The "SPY Auto RSI Stochastics" strategy combines RSI and Stochastic indicators to provide potential trade signals for the SPY ETF. Traders can use this strategy with proper risk management and analysis to enhance their trading decisions.
Crypto MVRV ZScore - Strategy [PresentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Crypto Valuation Extremes: MVRV ZScore - Strategy " represents a cutting-edge approach to cryptocurrency trading, leveraging the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score. This metric is pivotal for identifying overvalued or undervalued conditions in the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin. It assesses the current market valuation against the realized capitalization, providing insights that are not apparent through conventional analysis.
BTCUSD 6h Long/Short Performance
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█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy leverages the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score, specifically designed for cryptocurrencies, with a focus on Bitcoin. This metric is crucial for determining whether Bitcoin is currently undervalued or overvalued compared to its historical 'realized' price. Below is an in-depth explanation of the strategy's components and calculations.
🔶Conceptual Foundation
- Market Capitalization (MC): This represents the total dollar market value of Bitcoin's circulating supply. It is calculated as the current price of Bitcoin multiplied by the number of coins in circulation.
- Realized Capitalization (RC): Unlike MC, which values all coins at the current market price, RC is computed by valuing each coin at the price it was last moved or traded. Essentially, it is a summation of the value of all bitcoins, priced at the time they were last transacted.
- MVRV Ratio: This ratio is derived by dividing the Market Capitalization by the Realized Capitalization (The ratio of MC to RC (MVRV Ratio = MC / RC)). A ratio greater than 1 indicates that the current price is higher than the average price at which all bitcoins were purchased, suggesting potential overvaluation. Conversely, a ratio below 1 suggests undervaluation.
🔶 MVRV Z-Score Calculation
The Z-Score is a statistical measure that indicates the number of standard deviations an element is from the mean. For this strategy, the MVRV Z-Score is calculated as follows:
MVRV Z-Score = (MC - RC) / Standard Deviation of (MC - RC)
This formula quantifies Bitcoin's deviation from its 'normal' valuation range, offering insights into market sentiment and potential price reversals.
🔶 Spread Z-Score for Trading Signals
The strategy refines this approach by calculating a 'spread Z-Score', which adjusts the MVRV Z-Score over a specific period (default: 252 days). This is done to smooth out short-term market volatility and focus on longer-term valuation trends. The spread Z-Score is calculated as follows:
Spread Z-Score = (Market Z-Score - MVVR Ratio - SMA of Spread) / Standard Deviation of Spread
Where:
- SMA of Spread is the simple moving average of the spread over the specified period.
- Spread refers to the difference between the Market Z-Score and the MVRV Ratio.
🔶 Trading Signals
- Long Entry Condition: A long (buy) signal is generated when the spread Z-Score crosses above the long entry threshold, indicating that Bitcoin is potentially undervalued.
- Short Entry Condition: A short (sell) signal is triggered when the spread Z-Score falls below the short entry threshold, suggesting overvaluation.
These conditions are based on the premise that extreme deviations from the mean (as indicated by the Z-Score) are likely to revert to the mean over time, presenting opportunities for strategic entry and exit points.
█ Practical Application
Traders use these signals to make informed decisions about opening or closing positions in the Bitcoin market. By quantifying market valuation extremes, the strategy aims to capitalize on the cyclical nature of price movements, identifying high-probability entry and exit points based on historical valuation norms.
█ Trade Direction
A unique feature of this strategy is its configurable trade direction. Users can specify their preference for engaging in long positions, short positions, or both. This flexibility allows traders to tailor the strategy according to their risk tolerance, market outlook, or trading style, making it adaptable to various market conditions and trader objectives.
█ Usage
To implement this strategy, traders should first adjust the input parameters to align with their trading preferences and risk management practices. These parameters include the trade direction, Z-Score calculation period, and the thresholds for long and short entries. Once configured, the strategy automatically generates trading signals based on the calculated spread Z-Score, providing clear indications for potential entry and exit points.
It is advisable for traders to backtest the strategy under different market conditions to validate its effectiveness and adjust the settings as necessary. Continuous monitoring and adjustment are crucial, as market dynamics evolve over time.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Both (Allows for both long and short positions)
- Z-Score Calculation Period: 252 days (Approximately one trading year, capturing a comprehensive market cycle)
- Long Entry Threshold: 0.382 (Indicative of moderate undervaluation)
- Short Entry Threshold: -0.382 (Signifies moderate overvaluation)
These default settings are designed to balance sensitivity to market valuation extremes with a pragmatic approach to trade execution. They aim to filter out noise and focus on significant market movements, providing a solid foundation for both new and experienced traders looking to exploit the unique insights offered by the MVRV Z-Score in the cryptocurrency market.
PresentTrend RMI Synergy - Strategy [presentTrading] █ Introduction and How it is Different
The "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy" is the combined power of the Relative Momentum Index (RMI) and a custom presentTrend indicator. This strategy introduces a multifaceted approach, integrating momentum analysis with trend direction to offer traders a more nuanced and responsive trading mechanism.
BTCUSD 6h L/S Performance
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█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy" intricately combines the Relative Momentum Index (RMI) and a custom SuperTrend indicator to create a powerful tool for traders.
🔶 Relative Momentum Index (RMI)
The RMI is a variation of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), but instead of using price closes against itself, it measures the momentum of up and down movements in price relative to previous prices over a given period. The RMI for a period length `N` is calculated as follows:
RMI = 100 - 100/ (1 + U/D)
where:
- `U` is the average upward price change over `N` periods,
- `D` is the average downward price change over `N` periods.
The RMI oscillates between 0 and 100, with higher values indicating stronger upward momentum and lower values suggesting stronger downward momentum.
RMI = 21
RMI = 42
For more information - RMI Trend Sync - Strategy :
🔶 presentTrend Indicator
The presentTrend indicator combines the Average True Range (ATR) with a moving average to determine trend direction and dynamic support or resistance levels. The presentTrend for a period length `M` and a multiplier `F` is defined as:
- Upper Band: MA + (ATR x F)
- Lower Band: MA - (ATR x F)
where:
- `MA` is the moving average of the close price over `M` periods,
- `ATR` is the Average True Range over the same period,
- `F` is the multiplier to adjust the sensitivity.
The trend direction switches when the price crosses the presentTrend bands, signaling potential entry or exit points.
presentTrend length = 3
presentTrend length = 10
For more information - PresentTrend - Strategy :
🔶 Strategy Logic
Entry Conditions:
- Long Entry: Triggered when the RMI exceeds a threshold, say 60, indicating a strong bullish momentum, and when the price is above the presentTrend, confirming an uptrend.
- Short Entry: Occurs when the RMI drops below a threshold, say 40, showing strong bearish momentum, and the price is below the present trend, indicating a downtrend.
Exit Conditions with Dynamic Trailing Stop:
- Long Exit: Initiated when the price crosses below the lower presentTrend band or when the RMI falls back towards a neutral level, suggesting a weakening of the bullish momentum.
- Short Exit: Executed when the price crosses above the upper presentTrend band or when the RMI rises towards a neutral level, indicating a reduction in bearish momentum.
Equations for Dynamic Trailing Stop:
- For Long Positions: The exit price is set at the lower SuperTrend band once the entry condition is met.
- For Short Positions: The exit price is determined by the upper SuperTrend band post-entry.
These dynamic trailing stops adjust as the market moves, providing a method to lock in profits while allowing room for the position to grow.
This strategy's strength lies in its dual analysis approach, leveraging RMI for momentum insights and presentTrend for trend direction and dynamic stops. This combination offers traders a robust framework to navigate various market conditions, aiming to capture trends early and exit positions strategically to maximize gains and minimize losses.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy provides flexibility in trade direction selection, offering "Long," "Short," or "Both" options to cater to different market conditions and trader preferences. This adaptability ensures that traders can align the strategy with their market outlook, risk tolerance, and trading goals.
█ Usage
To utilize the "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy," traders should input their preferred settings in the Pine Script™ and apply the strategy to their charts. Monitoring RMI for momentum shifts and adjusting positions based on SuperTrend signals can optimize entry and exit points, enhancing potential returns while managing risk.
█ Default Settings
1. RMI Length: 21
The 21-period RMI length strikes a balance between capturing momentum and filtering out market noise, offering a medium-term outlook on market trends.
2. Super Trend Length: 7
A SuperTrend length of 7 periods is chosen for its responsiveness to price movements, providing a dynamic framework for trend identification without excessive sensitivity.
3. Super Trend Multiplier: 4.0
The multiplier of 4.0 for the SuperTrend indicator widens the trend bands, focusing on significant market moves and reducing the impact of minor fluctuations.
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The "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy" represents a significant step forward in trading strategy development, blending momentum and trend analysis in a unique way. By providing a detailed framework for understanding market dynamics, this strategy empowers traders to make more informed decisions.
RPPI Futures & Indices Strategy Tester [SS Premium]Hello everyone,
As promised, here is the strategy companion to the RPPI Futures & Indicies Indicator.
It contains all of the models of the RPPI but the functionality is all about back-testing the strategy. As such, you cannot use this to run probabilities, run autoregression assessments, or do any of the advanced RPPI features, this is solely to allow you to develop and implement a sustainable strategy in your trading using the RPI.
When you launch the indicator, in the settings menu, you will see toggles to customize the strategy you would like to apply:
You can customize your short and long entries and your short and long exits and then review the backtest results of these various combinations.
From there, you can open up tradingview's strategy tester to see the immediate success of the strategy. If you want to test how effective your strategy is further back, you can make use of Tradingview's "Deep Backtesting" option. This allows you to select a start date way in the past, and back-test over numerous months / years, to see if the strategy has been sustainable in the long term.
To read more about the RPPI, you can check out its own page which lists the details of the indicator, how it works and how to use it. As a synopsis, the RPPI is a compendium indicator that contains various models of multiple futures and stocks. This is to attempt to accurately forecast daily, weekly, monthly, 3 month and annual moves on various futures and indices.
This strategy companion will help you hone in on ideal entries and exits and allow you to tailor them to each ticker that you are interested in trading, on whichever timeframe you are interested in trading.
Some important notes when applying the back-testing results:
1. If you are back-testing daily levels, it is recommended to use the 1 to 5-minute chart max.
2. iF you are back-testing weekly levels, it is recommended to use at least 15 to 30 minutes, up to 60 minute candles.
3. Monthly levels, its best to use 1 hour and up.
4. Greater than monthly, its best to use 3 to 4 hours, to daily candles and up.
As always, feel free to leave your questions or suggestions below.
Thank you for reading and, as always, safe trades!
Single Swing Strategy (SSS)Introduction
The Single Swing Strategy (SSS) is a trading strategy designed for assets that trend. It utilises a single technical indicator to identify potential buying opportunities in upward-trending markets. The strategy focuses on moments when the price of an asset breaks out to a new high, suggesting a strong upward momentum.
Components
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): SSS uses two EMAs to evaluate the overall asset trend. SSS describes an uptrend as identified, when the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA and vice versa for a downtrend.
2. Breakout: The strategy validates the trend identified by the EMAs through breakouts in the price action of the asset over a specified lookback period. No indicator is required for this step.
3. Average Directional Index (ADX): The ADX is used to measure the strength of a trend. It does not indicate the trend's direction but rather its strength, whether it's an uptrend or downtrend. A high ADX value (typically above 25) suggests a strong trend, either up or down while a low ADX value (typically below 20) indicates a weak or non-trending market. The ADX itself is a moving average of the expanding range between the +DI and -DI.
4. Positive Directional Indicator (DI+): DI+ helps identify the presence and strength of uptrends. It is calculated based on the upward price movement between current and previous highs. A rising DI+ alongside a rising ADX suggests a strengthening uptrend. When DI+ crosses above DI-, it's often interpreted as a bullish signal.
5. Negative Directional Indicator (DI-): DI- is used to detect the presence and strength of downtrends.It is derived from the downward price movement between current and previous lows. An increasing DI- along with a rising ADX indicates a strengthening downtrend while a crossover of DI- above DI+ is typically seen as a bearish signal.
How it works
1. Regime filter with ADX, DI+, and DI-: The first step in taking a trade is to determine the direction of the trend using the +DI. If in an uptrend, the strategy checks if the ADX is above 25 to confirm a strong uptrend. -DI is not used since the strategy is long only. If in an uptrend and the trend is strong, trades can be opened.
2. Trend Identification with EMAs: Initially, the strategy uses two Exponential Moving Averages (fast and slow) to determine the asset trend. A fast EMA crossing above the slow EMA signifies an uptrend, and vice versa for a downtrend. This is the Entry signal to open a long position.
3. Trend Confirmation with Breakout: The strategy confirms the EMA-indicated trend through price breakouts over a specified lookback period. An EMA crossover without a price action breakout does not lead to an entry signal
4. Trade Management: After entering a trade, the strategy uses predefined levels for taking profit and setting stop losses. Trades are closed either when the price reaches the take-profit level or falls to the stop-loss level. Hence, risk management is built in.
Results
The backtest results can be found below. Initial capital of 10000 was used, this is a convenient amount for most retail traders, commission of $3 per order, position size of 3% of initial capital and slippage of 3 ticks. These are all representative of real world retail trading conditions.
Originality
The Single Swing Strategy (SSS)'s originality is in its blending of classical technical analysis; Trend Analysis through EMAs and Price Action through Breakout, into an innovative trading logic.
1. The Essence of Trend and Breakout in SSS
(i) Trend Recognition: At the heart of SSS is the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). While the use of EMAs is common, SSS employs them for trend analysis so an entry decision can be made. The strategy's core algorithm assesses the inception of an upward trend by observing a specific crossing pattern of the EMAs, a moment where the asset's momentum shifts, offering a strategic advantage.
(ii) Breakout Significance: The strategy's reliance on price breakouts isn't just about identifying a new high; it's about understanding market psychology. A breakout beyond a previous high signals not only momentum but also a collective market sentiment that favors upward movement. SSS attempts to capture this momentum, translating it into a tangible trading opportunity.
(iii)Strength of trend: The ADX and +DI double checks the trend is in the right direction and checks to see if the trend is strong enough hence, it prevents trading when the trend is not supportive.
2. Simplicity as a Cornerstone
(i) Clarity and Efficiency: In the realm of algorithmic trading, complexity isn't always synonymous with effectiveness. SSS' simplicity ensures its logic is transparent and its execution, efficient. This simplicity is a strategic choice, designed to reduce overfitting to past data and improve adaptability to real-market conditions.
(ii) Ease of Use and Decision Making: The straightforward nature of SSS may empower traders to make informed decisions without being overwhelmed by convoluted indicators. This is particularly useful because of the embedding of risk management using defined exit points after entry through a Take Profit and Stop Loss. This hardcodes a 3:1 risk reward ratio into every trade.
3. Positive Expectancy
(i) Performance Metrics: The SSS strategy shows its edge in its backtesting results. A 62% win rate, a profit factor of 1.7, profit ratio of 1.05 and an average trade gain of 4.7% are not just numbers; they show the mathematical edge over the backtest period, especially considering the high commissions and slippage factored into its design.
Trading
The SSS strategy has been backtested on the 1D timeframe of BTCUSD but users are encouraged to try it on other assets such as SPXL (5min), AAPL (5min) and others but the appropriate timeframe and trading costs may vary.
NOTE
Like any trading strategy, SSS does not guarantee profits. It's a tool to assist in decision-making, not a foolproof solution. Trading involves risks, particularly in volatile markets. Users should trade responsibly, considering their risk tolerance and financial situation. While SSS automates some aspects of trading, it requires continuous monitoring and does not replace the need for sound judgement and decision-making by the trader.
Turtle Trader StrategyTurtle Trader Strategy :
Introduction :
This strategy is based on the well known « Turtle Trader Strategy », that has proven itself over the years. It sends long and short signals with pyramid orders of up to 5, meaning that the strategy can trigger up to 5 orders in the same direction. Good risk and money management.
It's important to note that the strategy combines 2 systems working together (S1 and S2). Let’s describe the specific features of this strategy.
1/ Position size :
Position size is very important for turtle traders to manage risk properly. This position sizing strategy adapts to market volatility and to account (gains and losses). It’s based on ATR (Average True Range) which can also be called « N ». Its length is per default 20.
ATR(20) = (previous_atr(20)*19 + actual_true_range)/20
The number of units to buy is :
Unit = 1% * account/(ATR(20)*dollar_per_point)
where account is the actual account value and dollar_per_point is the variation in dollar of the asset with a 1 point move.
Depending on your risk aversion, you can increase the percentage of your account, but turtle traders default to 1%. If you trade contracts, units must be rounded down by default.
There is also an additional rule to reduce the risk if the value of the account falls below the initial capital : in this case and only in this case, account in the unit formula must be replace by :
account = actual_account*actual_account/initial capital
2/ Open a position :
2 systems are working together :
System 1 : Entering a new 20 day breakout
System 2 : Entering a new 55 day breakout
A breakout is a new high or new low. If it’s a new high, we open long position and vice versa if it’s a new low we enter in short position.
We add an additional rule :
System 1 : Breakout is ignored if last long/short position was a winner
System 2 : All signals are taken
This additional rule allows the trader to be in the major trends if the system 1 signal has been skipped. If a signal for system 1 has been skipped, and next candle is also a new 20 day breakout, S1 doesn’t give a signal. We have to wait S2 signal or wait for a candle that doesn’t make a new breakout to reactivate S1.
3/ Pyramid orders :
Turtle Strategy allows us to add extra units to the position if the price moves in our favor. I've configured the strategy to allow up to 5 orders to be added in the same direction. So if the price varies from 0.5*ATR(20) , we add units with the position size formula. Note that the value of account will be replaced by "remaining_account", i.e. the cash remaining in our account after subtracting the value of open positions.
4/ Stop Loss :
We set a stop loss at 1.5*ATR(20) below the entry price for longs and above the entry price for shorts. If pyramid units are added, the stop is increased/decreased by 0.5*ATR(20). Note that if SL is configured for a loss of more than 10%, we set the SL to 10% for the first entry order to avoid big losses. This configuration does not work for pyramid orders as SL moves by 0.5*ATR(20).
5/ Exit signals :
System 1 :
Exit long on a 10 day low
Exit short on a 10 day high
System 2 :
Exit long on a 20 day low
Exit short on a 20 day high
6/ What types of orders are placed ?
To enter in a position, stop orders are placed meaning that we place orders that will be automatically triggered by the signal at the exact breakout price. Stop loss and exit signals are also stop orders. Pyramid orders are market orders which will be triggered at the opening of the next candle to avoid repainting.
PARAMETERS :
Risk % of capital : Percentage used in the position size formula. Default is 1%
ATR period : ATR length used to calculate ATR. Default is 20
Stop ATR : Parameters used to fix stop loss. Default is 1.5 meaning that stop loss will be set at : buy_price - 1.5*ATR(20) for long and buy_price + 1.5*ATR(20) for short. Turtle traders default is 2 but 1.5 is better for cryptocurrency as there is a huge volatility.
S1 Long : System 1 breakout length for long. Default is 20
S2 Long : System 2 breakout length for long. Default is 55
S1 Long Exit : System 1 breakout length to exit long. Default is 10
S2 Long Exit : System 2 breakout length to exit long. Default is 20
S1 Short : System 1 breakout length for short. Default is 15
S2 Short : System 2 breakout length for short. Default is 55
S1 Short Exit : System 1 breakout length to exit short. Default is 7
S2 Short Exit : System 2 breakout length to exit short. Default is 20
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Pyramiding : Number of orders that can be passed in the same direction. Default is 5.
Important : Turtle traders don't trade crypto. For this specific asset type, I modify some parameters such as SL and Short S1 in order to maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BINANCE:BTCUSD in 1D timeframe with the parameters set per default. If you want to use this strategy for a different crypto please adapt parameters.
NOTE :
It's important to note that the first entry order (long or short) will be the largest. Subsequent pyramid orders will have fewer units than the first order. We've set a maximum SL for the first order of 10%, meaning that you won't lose more than 10% of the value of your first order. However, it is possible to lose more on your pyramid orders, as the SL is increased/decreased by 0.5*ATR(20), which does not secure a loss of more than 10% on your pyramid orders. The risk remains well managed because the value of these orders is less than the value of the first order. Remain vigilant to this small detail and adjust your risk according to your risk aversion.
Enjoy the strategy and don’t forget to take the trade :)
FlexiMA x FlexiST - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The FlexiMA x FlexiST Strategy blends two analytical methods - FlexiMA and FlexiST, which are opened in my early post.
- FlexiMA calculates deviations between an indicator source and a dynamic moving average, controlled by a starting factor and increment factor.
- FlexiST, on the other hand, leverages the SuperTrend model, adjusting the Average True Range (ATR) length for a comprehensive trend-following oscillator.
This synergy offers traders a more nuanced and multifaceted tool for market analysis.
BTC 6H L/S Performance
Local
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy combines two components: FlexiMA and FlexiST, each utilizing unique methodologies to analyze market trends.
🔶FlexiMA Component:
- Calculates deviations between an indicator source and moving averages of variable lengths.
- Moving average lengths are dynamically adjusted using a starting factor and increment factor.
- Deviations are normalized and analyzed to produce median and standard deviation values, forming the FlexiMA oscillator.
Length indicator (50)
🔶FlexiST Component:
- Uses SuperTrend indicators with varying ATR (Average True Range) lengths.
- Trends are identified based on the position of the indicator source relative to the SuperTrend bands.
- Deviations between the indicator source and SuperTrend values are calculated and normalized.
Starting Factor (5)
🔶Combined Strategy Logic:
- Entry Signals:
- Long Entry: Triggered when median values of both FlexiMA and FlexiST are positive.
- Short Entry: Triggered when median values of both FlexiMA and FlexiST are negative.
- Exit Signals:
- Long Exit: Triggered when median values of FlexiMA or FlexiST turn negative.
- Short Exit: Triggered when median values of FlexiMA or FlexiST turn positive.
This strategic blend of FlexiMA and FlexiST allows for a nuanced analysis of market trends, providing traders with signals based on a comprehensive view of market momentum and trend strength.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy is designed to cater to various trading preferences, offering "Long", "Short", and "Both" options. This flexibility allows traders to align the strategy with their specific market outlook, be it bullish, bearish, or a combination of both.
█ Usage
Traders can effectively utilize the FlexiMA x FlexiST Strategy by first selecting their desired trade direction. The strategy then generates entry signals when the conditions for either the FlexiMA or FlexiST are met, indicating potential entry points in the market. Conversely, exit signals are generated when the conditions for these indicators diverge, thus signaling a potential shift in market trends and suggesting a strategic exit point.
█ Default Settings
1. Indicator Source (HLC3): Provides a balanced and stable price source, reducing the impact of extreme market fluctuations.
2. Indicator Lengths (20 for FlexiMA, 10 for FlexiST): Longer FlexiMA length smooths out short-term fluctuations, while shorter FlexiST length allows for quicker response to market changes.
3. Starting Factors (1.0 for FlexiMA, 0.618 for FlexiST): Balanced start for FlexiMA and a harmonized approach for FlexiST, resonating with natural market cycles.
4. Increment Factors (1.0 for FlexiMA, 0.382 for FlexiST): FlexiMA captures a wide range of market behaviors, while FlexiST provides a gradual transition to capture finer trend shifts.
5. Normalization Methods ('None'): Uses raw deviations, suitable for markets where absolute price movements are more significant.
6. Trade Direction ('Both'): Allows strategy to consider both long and short opportunities, ideal for versatile market engagement.
*More details:
1. FlexiMA
2. FlexiST
Megabar Breakout (Range & Volume & RSI)Hey there,
This strategy is based on the idea that certain events lead to what are called Megabars. Megabars are bars that have a very large range and volume. I wanted to verify whether these bars indicate the start of a trend and whether one should follow the trend.
Summary of the Code:
The code is based on three indicators: the range of the bar, the volume of the bar, and the RSI. When certain values of these indicators are met, a Megabar is identified. The direction of the Megabar indicates the direction in which we should trade.
Why do I combine these indicators?
I want to identify special bars that have the potential to mark the beginning of a breakout. Therefore, a bar needs to exhibit high volume, have a large range (huge price movement), and we also use the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to assess potential momentum. Only if all three criteria are met within one candle, do we use this as an identifier for a megabar.
Explanation of Drawings on the Chart:
As you can see, there is a green background on my chart. The green background symbolizes the time when I'm entering a trade. Only if a Megabar happens during that time, I'm ready to enter a trade. The time is between 6 AM and 4 PM CET. It's just because I prefer that time. Also, the strategy draws an error every time a Megabar happens based on VOL and Range only (not on the RSI). That makes it pretty easy to go through your chart and check the biggest bars manually. You can activate or deactivate these settings via the input data of the strategy.
When Do We Enter a Trade?
We wait for a Megabar to happen during our trading session. If the Megabar is bullish, we open a LONG trade at the opening price of the next candle. If the Megabar is bearish, we open a SHORT trade at the opening price of the next candle.
Where Do We Put Our Take Profit & Stop Loss?
The default setting is TP = 40 Pips and SL = 30 Pips. In that case, we are always trading with a risk-reward ratio of 1.33 by default. You can easily change these settings via the input data of the strategy.
Strategy Results
The criteria for Megabars were chosen by me in a way that makes Megabars something special. They are not intended to occur too frequently, as the fundamental idea of this strategy would otherwise not hold. This results in only 37 closed trades within the last 12 months. If you change the criterias for a megabar to a milder one, you will create more Megabars and therefore more trades. It's up to you. I have adapted this strategy to the 30-minute chart of the EURUSD. In the evaluation, we consider a period of 12 months, which I believe is sufficient.
My default settings for the indicators look like this:
Avg Length Vol 20
Avg Multiplier Vol 3
Avg Length Range 20
Avg Multiplier Range 4
Value SMA RSI for Long Trades 50
Value SMA RSI for Short Trades 70
IMPORTANT: The current performance overview does not display the results of these settings. Please change the settings to my default ones so that you can see how I use this strategy.
I do not recommend trading this strategy without further testing. The script is meant to reflect a basic idea and be used as a tool to identify Megabars. I have made this strategy completely public so that it can be further developed. One can take this framework and test it on different timeframes and different markets.
London BreakOut ClassicHey there, this is my first time publishing a strategy. The strategy is based on the London Breakout Idea, an incredibly popular concept with abundant information available online.
Let me summarize the London Breakout Strategy in a nutshell: It involves identifying key price levels based on the Tokyo Session before the London Session starts. Typically, these key levels are the high and low of the previous Tokyo session. If a breakout occurs during the London session, you simply follow the trend.
The purpose of this code
After conducting my research, I came across numerous posts, videos, and articles discussing the London Breakout Strategy. I aimed to automatically test it myself to verify whether the claims made by these so-called trading gurus are accurate or not. Consequently, I wrote this script to gain an understanding of how this strategy would perform if I were to follow its basic settings blindly.
Explanation of drawings on the chart:
Red or Green Box: A box is drawn on our chart displaying the exact range of the Tokyo trading session. This box is colored red if the trend during the session was downward and green if it was upward. The box is always drawn between the high and the low between 0:00 AM and 7:00 AM UTC. You can change the settings via the Inputs "Session time Tokyo" & "Session time zone".
Green Background: The green background represents the London trading session. My code allows us to make entries only during this time. If we haven't entered a trade, any pending orders are canceled. I've also programmed a timeout at 11 pm to ensure every trade is closed before the new Tokyo session begins.
Red Line: The red line is automatically placed in the middle of our previous Tokyo range. This line acts as our stop loss. If we cross this line after entering a trade but before reaching our take profit, we'll be stopped out.
When do we enter a trade?
We wait for a candle body to close outside of the previous Tokyo range to enter a trade with the opening of the next candle. We only enter one trade per day.
Where do we put our Take Profit?
The code calculates the exact distance between our entry point and the stop loss. We are trading a risk-reward ratio of 1:1 by default, meaning our take profit is always the same number of pips away from our entry as the stop loss. The Stop Loss is always defined by the red line on the chart. You can change the risk-reward ratio via the inputs setting "CRV", to see how the result changes.
What is the purpose of this script?
I wanted to backtest the London breakout strategy to see how it actually works. Therefore, I wrote this code so that everybody can test it for themselves. You can change the settings and see how the result changes. Typically, you should test this strategy on forex markets and on either 1Min, 5 Min, or 15 Min timeframe.
What are the results?
Over the last 3-6 months (over 100 trades), trading the strategy with my default settings hasn't proven to be very successful. Consequently, I do not recommend trading this strategy blindly. The purpose of this code is to provide you with a foundation for the London Breakout Strategy, allowing you to modify and enhance it according to your preferences. If you're contemplating whether to give it a try, you can assess the results from the past months by using this code as a starting point.
MACD of Relative Strenght StrategyMACD Relative Strenght Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on two well-known indicators: MACD and Relative Strenght (RS). By coupling them, we obtain powerful buy signals. In fact, the special feature of this strategy is that it creates an indicator from an indicator. Thus, we construct a MACD whose source is the value of the RS. The strategy only takes buy signals, ignoring SHORT signals as they are mostly losers. There's also a money management method enabling us to reinvest part of the profits or reduce the size of orders in the event of substantial losses.
RELATIVE STRENGHT :
RS is an indicator that measures the anomaly between momentum and the assumption of market efficiency. It is used by professionals and is one of the most robust indicators. The idea is to own assets that do better than average, based on their past performance. We calculate RS using this formula :
RS = close/highest_high(RS_Length)
Where highest_high(RS_Length) = highest value of the high over a user-defined time period (which is the RS_Length).
We can thus situate the current price in relation to its highest price over this user-defined period.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence - Divergence) :
This is one of the best-known indicators, measuring the distance between two exponential moving averages : one fast and one slower. A wide distance indicates fast momentum and vice versa. We'll plot the value of this distance and call this line macdline. The MACD uses a third moving average with a lower period than the first two. This last moving average will give a signal when it crosses the macdline. It is therefore constructed using the values of the macdline as its source.
It's important to note that the first two MAs are constructed using RS values as their source. So we've just built an indicator of an indicator. This kind of method is very powerful because it is rarely used and brings value to the strategy.
PARAMETERS :
RS Length : Relative Strength length i.e. the number of candles back to find the highest high and compare the current price with this high. Default is 300.
MACD Fast Length : Relative Strength fast EMA length used to plot the MACD. Default is 14.
MACD Slow Length : Relative Strength slow EMA length used to plot the MACD. Default is 26.
MACD Signal Smoothing : Macdline SMA length used to plot the MACD. Default is 10.
Max risk per trade (in %) : The maximum loss a trade can incur (in percentage of the trade value). Default is 8%.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. Default is 400, meaning that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by a user-selected amount.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot has been used to test the different parameters and determine which ones maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD in 8h timeframe with the parameters set by default.
ENTER RULES :
The entry rules are very simple : we open a long position when the MACD value turns positive. You are therefore LONG when the MACD is green.
EXIT RULES :
We exit a position (whether losing or winning) when the MACD becomes negative, i.e. turns red.
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy can incur losses, so it's important to manage our risks well. If the position is losing and has incurred a loss of -8%, our stop loss is activated to limit losses.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)
Crypto Market Strategy (CMS)/Introduction
The Crypto Market Strategy (CMS) is a composite strategy for the cryptocurrency market. It integrates multiple strategies (called signals) to ensure you are exploiting multiple patterns/anomalies in the market.
/Signals
The three distinct strategies, each providing signals based on specific market conditions are explained below:
1. Limit Range: This signal targets stable market periods, triggering signals based on micro breakouts in price. The market during this period is described as stable because of the short lookback period required for breakout, four bars is the default.
2. Trend Breakout: This signal seeks to capitalize on significant market movements following consolidation periods, it triggers when large price breakouts occur. The market during this period is described as volatile because of the long lookback period required for breakout, forty bars is the default.
3. Momentum: After breakouts, price uptrends may persist for a long time, typically weeks to months. This signal captures long term trends.
An upward blue arrow signifies a long entry signal, a downward red arrow indicates a short entry signal, while an upward/downward pink arrow indicates an exit signal. All signals will have a label indicating the triggering strategy and number of units (this can be disabled in the style settings).
/Construction
The strategy is constructed using minimal indicators, it is basically price action and moving averages.
/Settings
The settings are organised according to the signals;
1. Limit range
Entry - This is the size of breakout
+Exit - Closes the trade in profit
-Exit - Closes the trade to minimise loss
2. Trend breakout
Entry - This is the size of the breakout
Exit - Closes the trade to minimise loss
3. Momentum
Entry - This determines how quickly a signal is triggered
Lookback - This is the duration considered for the entry
/Results
The backtest results are based on a starting capital of $13,700 (convenient amount for retail traders) with 5% of equity for the position size and pyramiding of 3 consecutive positions because there are three signals. Commissions vary from broker to broker with some charging zero commissions, so commissions is set to an exorbitant $3 per order to ensure profitability in backtests is reproducible in live trading. Slippage of 3 ticks is used to ensure the results are representative of real world, market order, end-of-day trading. The backtest results are available to view at the bottom of this page.
Note:
Past performance in backtesting does not guarantee future results. Cryptocurrency markets are particularly volatile, and individual execution and market changes can significantly affect strategy performance. Price data may also vary across exchanges.
/Tickers
CMS has been backtested primarily on BTCUSD. It also performs well on ETHUSD.
IchiBot - [SigmaStreet]
The IchiBot Indicator has been used to develop automated trading systems. It leverages the open-source Ichimoku framework provided by Trading View, to enable users to creatively generate over 1 trillion different combinations of trading conditions with the use of multiple timeframes to create unique “signal labels” that can be used to create custom strategies or provide in depth market analysis. At the end of this description, I have provided an example of input settings for a simple scalping strategy that I have back tested on US30 on the 5 minute timeframe.
Overview of the Settings:
The visuals section includes an option to show or hide certain parts of the indicator and change the size of the signal labels plotted on the chart.
Next to the “Signal color on baseline/candles” section, you can choose if you want to see additional signals generations from the most previous plotted label on a color changing baseline, or color changing candles. A color change from gray to blue/red indicate that the conditions from the most previously plotted signal label have been met again.
The next 5 sections are all related to the strategy portion of the indicator, used to aid in the back testing process. These sections are titled “Stop loss”, “Take Profit”, “Trail Stop”, “Trade Settings” and “Trade Schedule”.
The Stop Loss section includes an option to choose between value of “pts”, “atr” (average true range) or “None”. The stop loss value in “pts” is simply a specified number of points or pips from the current entry price of a trade that are input in the “SL” section. If the stop loss type is “atr” the “SL” section is not used and the value is calculated and displaced from the current entry price of a trade based on the atr period multiplied by the atr multiplier.
The take profit section is based on the same logic as the stop loss.
The Trail Stop section includes an option to choose between values “pts” or “None”. If the Trail Stop value is “pts”, a trailing stop loss is activated if a trade moves a point value into profit that exceeds the value of the “Trail Activation”. If the Trail Offset type is “pts”, the trailing stop loss is placed a point value away from the current price that is equal to the “Trail Offset” value.
The trade settings section has two options to either prevent or allow trade reversals and prevent or allow only 1 trade per signal label.
If the “Don’t allow trade reversals” is on, then a currently active trade can not be cancelled by an opposite trade signal. It can only be cancelled by the exit logic selected in the above sections. If the “One trade per signal” is selected, the strategy will only enter a trade if the most recent signal label is different from the last signal label where a trade was entered, or if the most recent signal label is in the opposite direction of the most recent signal label where a trade was entered.
The trade schedule section includes an option to only generate signal labels during the specified time. You can choose between 24/7 which will generate signals without any time restriction, or you can choose a custom time which is based on the America / New York time zone.
The timeframe settings section includes an option to choose “single” or “multiple” timeframes, as well as an option to show every signal label combination (“all”), or only the signal labels with the highest numerical value (“absolute”).
If you select “single” next to “timeframe”, the indicator will show you labels based on trade conditions met from only 1 selected timeframe. If you select “multiple” next to “timeframe”, the indicator is designed to return signal labels based on trade conditions that have been met on at least 2 different timeframes.
If you select “multiple” and “use current timeframe”, the indicator will include labels that always include a minimum of 2 timeframes where 1 timeframe is always the current timeframe. If you unselect the “use current timeframe”, the indicator will include labels with a minimum of 2 timeframes.
If you select “multiple” next to “timeframe” and “all” next to “Show all/absolute labels”, the indicator will show you every possible combination of labels that vary from trade conditions met on a minimum of 2 timeframes, to the maximum number of timeframes selected.
If you select “multiple” next to “timeframe” and “absolute” next to “Show all/absolute labels”, the indicator will only show you labels where the numerical value is equivalent to the maximum number of timeframes selected.
Each signal label provides a number which refers to the number of timeframes used to generate the label, offering insights briefly. Hover over a label to reveal detailed tooltip information that details the exact timeframes used to generate each label.
You can choose all from “Show all/absolute labels” to see every possible combination of trade signals or “absolute” to only see labels that have the highest possible numerical value. Absolute means that every condition selected from every timeframe was calculated to be true at the same time on the same candle.
The next 8 sections are “Current timeframe trade conditions”, “1-minute timeframe trade conditions”, “5-minute timeframe trade conditions”, “15-minute timeframe trade conditions”, “30-minute timeframe trade conditions”, “1-hour timeframe trade conditions”, “4-hour timeframe trade conditions”, “Daily timeframe trade conditions”.
These sections include the same 10 trade conditions, that can be used independently, or in combination with each other. This brings the total number of trade conditions to 70.
The final section includes a standard option to adjust the current Ichimoku values.
Understanding the Calculations:
The term “future” refers to a value that is calculated 26 candles to the right of the most recent closing price.
The term “current” refers to a value that is calculated on the most recent closing price.
The term “past” refers to a value that is calculated 26 candles to the left of the most recent closing price.
Bullish is referred to as “blue” and bearish is referred to as “red”.
Buy Signals:
1. The current closing price is greater than the current cloud value.
2. The future cloud is blue.
3. The current closing price is greater than the current conversion line.
4. The current conversion line is greater than the current baseline.
5. The lagging span is greater than the closing price of the last 25 candles.
6. The lagging span is greater than the past cloud.
7. The lagging span is greater than the past conversion line and the past baseline.
8. The current conversion line is greater than the current cloud.
9. The current baseline is greater than the current cloud.
10. The value of the current cloud to the future cloud is completely blue.
Sell Signals:
1. The current closing price is less than the current cloud value.
2. The future cloud is red.
3. The current closing price is less than the current conversion line.
4. The current conversion line is less than the current baseline.
5. The lagging span is less than the closing price of the last 25 candles.
6. The lagging span is less than the past cloud.
7. The lagging span is less than the past conversion line and the past baseline.
8. The current conversion line is less than the current cloud.
9. The current baseline is less than the current cloud.
10. The value of the current cloud to the future cloud is completely red.
The script enables users to access the value of these 10 trade conditions across the 7 major time frames (1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour, Daily, and the current charts time frame) by using the official non repainting request security function provided by Trading View:
f_secSecurity(_src, _res, _exp) =>
request.security(_src, _res, _exp )
This indicator provides up to 70 variables (10 variables X 7 timeframes) that can be used separately, or in combination to generate signal labels.
Enhance your visual analysis with a color-changing baseline and candle colors that adapt to signal shifts, offering an immediate understanding of market trends. The base line will change from gray to blue/red which will reference the most previously plotted signal label. This change in color indicate that the conditions from the most recently plotted signal label have been met once again. Please refer to the example below.
Adjustments to the Ichimoku Indicator:
The script uses a slightly refined version of the Ichimoku indicator to calculate 10 different “trade conditions”. Each trade condition can create 1 bullish signal label and 1 bearish signal label. The calculations are primarily based on “greater than and less than logic” which is standard for signal generation.
In the original Ichimoku calculations, the “Lagging Span” has a default value of 26 periods. In the actual calculations, this input with the title “Lagging Span” is referred to as the “displacement”. When the lagging span is plotted on the chart, it is plotted with an offset value of offset = -displacement + 1 which technically plots the lagging span 25 candles to the left the most recent candle (if you count the most recent closing price as 0 and not 1). The clouds are plotted with an offset of offset = displacement -1 which technically plots the clouds 25 candles to the right of the most recent candle.
I have adjusted the logic of the Ichimoku indicator so the lagging span is still plotted 25 candles to the left of the most recently confirmed candle close, but the cloud is plotted 26 candles to the right of the most recent confirmed candle close.
This seemingly small adjustment of one candle cannot simply be adjusted in the settings of the original Ichimoku indicator since the calculations of the cloud and lagging span displacements are directly affected by the same value (displacement = 26, also known as the “lagging span”). My script is adjusted to make calculations where the lagging span is 25 candles to the left of the most recent candle, and the cloud is displaced 26 candles to the right of the most recent candle.
For example, my scripts logic to detect if the current closing price is over the current cloud is (close > leadLead1 and close > leadLine2 and leadLine1 > leadLine2 . By using a lookback of , the logic assumes that the displaced value is 26 bars to the right of the most recent candle. My script also reflects this logic in the plotted values of the cloud where the offset values are offset = displacement. This adjustment is made without affecting any other part of the Ichimoku indicators calculations, only the displacement of the cloud which directly affects the logic of trade conditioins. This change is a deliberate and necessary function of this script’s logic to generate trade conditions and signal labels.
I’ve removed the conversion line and the lagging span and introduced a 26-period pivot high/low to provide a less cluttered chart. The pivot high/low looks 26 periods to the left and only 1 period to the right. The lagging span and conversion line logic is still built into the framework of the trading signals. If you choose to enable the lagging span, or conversion line.
trading approach, and always test your strategies thoroughly.
The function to generate the "Signal Labels" calculates every single possible combination of the 7 different timeframes which is a total of 127 combinations for bullish signal labels, and 127 combinations for bearish signal labels. This function also provides the necessary criteria for the strategy entry conditions, based on the dynamically calculated values derived from the signal labels themselves. For example: "buy signal on 1 minute and 5 minute timeframe" is considered 1 combination, and "Buy signal on current, 5 minute, 15 minute, 30 minute, 1 hour, 4 hour and daily timeframe" is also considered 1 combination. There are a total of 254 combinations between buy and sell signal labels along with 254 individual variables with their own unique tool tip description. The signal label function alone spans over 1340 lines of code (minus spaces and comments) to specifically account for every possible variable combination. This unique and original function also calculates the signal label "value" which is the number you see on the signal label. This function adjusts the amount of labels plotted, the value and description of all labels based on the timeframe settings "single"/"multiple", the use of "use current timeframe" setting, and the "trade schedule". This signal label function has been a landmark piece of code for me in my endeavor to create and optimize my strategies based on its ability to provide an in depth analysis of the timeframes used when generating signal labels. This function is main reason that this script has been published closed source.
Back tested results.
The current results are from US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average CFD) on the 5-minute timeframe using regular candles. The inputs are as follows:
Stop loss = 5000 pts
No take profit.
Trail activation = 100 pts
Trail offset = 100 pts
Don’t allow trade reversals
Trade 24/7
Timeframe = multiple
Show absolute signals
Use current timeframe, lag span over/under candles
Use 30m timeframe, all cloud is bull/bear
Initial capital = $10,000 USD, 1 contract, $0.07 per contract, slippage = 3 ticks, use bar magnifier = on
Timeframe = June 1st, 2023 – November 10th, 2023, risk = 5% (greatest loosing trade = $500.44)
Sniper [Decentrader]Bespoke Decentrader Mean Reversion / Colume based support/resistance Strategy builder.
Colour-coded mean line using price and volume
Volatility Bands (chose % or Std Dev)
Major support and resistance plotted lines
Suggested dynamic hard-stop placement
Built for all markets
A realistic strategy for multi-asset portfolio management
Complementary components to assist other indicators/strategies
Filtering for Long / Short only conditions is possible under settings.
Can be automated by including 3rd party code into the settings to be used as alerts.
Use the Mitigate lines to show previous areas of support or resistance, which have been broken.
4 main strategy options:
1. You can choose whether to enter based on the upper or lower Meanline. If the price is below the Meanline, the lower Meanline will be used for entry, while if the price is above the Meanline, the upper Meanline will be used. \n\nIf you want to use this condition to exit the position, you also need to select the "Exit at the Meanline" option as well.
2. If the selected strategy is "3. Buy/Sell Volatility Bands," you can specify which Band should trigger the position to open. The price must touch or cross the edge of the chosen Band. Additionally, if the "Exit at the Volatility Bands" option is selected, the same Band will be used for the exit criteria.
3. Buy/Sell Meanline retest": A position will be opened when the price retests the Meanline. The price must touch or wick through the Meanline without closing below/above it. (If this strategy is combined with "Exit at the Meanline" option, then in case price goes against our position, the strategy will exit if the price closes under/above the meanline
Buy/Sell Meanline breakout (UP/DOWN)": A long or short position will be opened when the price breaks above or below the Meanline
4. Buy/Sell Support/Resistance lines": A position will be opened when the price touches the support or resistance lines. This option can also be combined with the "Exit at the Meanline" option.
This tool can be used to help enter a trending asset or find entries for an asset retracing.
Please take care to test strategies before automation, which is also possible.
Bollinger Bands StrategyBollinger Bands Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on the famous Bollinger Bands. These are constructed using a standard moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation of past prices. The theory goes that 90% of the time, the price is contained between these two bands. If it were to break out, this would mean either a reversal or a continuation. However, when a reversal occurs, the movement is weak, whereas when a continuation occurs, the movement is substantial and profits can be interesting. We're going to use BB to take advantage of this strong upcoming movement, while managing our risks reasonably. There's also a money management method for reinvesting part of the profits or reducing the size of orders in the event of substantial losses.
BOLLINGER BANDS :
The construction of Bollinger bands is straightforward. First, plot the SMA of the price, with a length specified by the user. Then calculate the standard deviation to measure price dispersion in relation to the mean, using this formula :
stdv = (((P1 - avg)^2 + (P2 - avg)^2 + ... + (Pn - avg)^2) / n)^1/2
To plot the two Bollinger bands, we then add a user-defined number of standard deviations to the initial SMA. The default is to add 2. The result is :
Upper_band = SMA + 2*stdv
Lower_band = SMA - 2*stdv
When the price leaves this channel defined by the bands, we obtain buy and sell signals.
PARAMETERS :
BB Length : This is the length of the Bollinger Bands, i.e. the length of the SMA used to plot the bands, and the length of the price series used to calculate the standard deviation. The default is 120.
Standard Deviation Multipler : adds or subtracts this number of times the standard deviation from the initial SMA. Default is 2.
SMA Exit Signal Length : Exit signals for winning and losing trades are triggered by another SMA. This parameter defines the length of this SMA. The default is 110.
Max Risk per trade (in %) : It's the maximum percentage the user can lose in one trade. The default is 6%.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. The default is 400, meaning that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by a user-selected amount.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot has been used to test the different parameters and determine which ones maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD in 8h timeframe with the following parameters :
BB Length = 120
Standard Deviation Multipler = 2
SMA Exit Signal Length = 110
Max Risk per trade (in %) = 6%
ENTER RULES :
The entry rules are simple:
If close > Upper_band it's a LONG signal
If close < Lower_band it's a SHORT signal
EXIT RULES :
If we are LONG and close < SMA_EXIT, position is closed
If we are SHORT and close > SMA_EXIT, the position is closed
Positions close automatically if they lose more than 6% to limit risk
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy is subject to losses. We manage our risk using the exit SMA or using a SL sets to 6%. This SMA gives us exit signals when the price closes below or above, thus limiting losses. If the signal arrives too late, the position is closed after a loss of 6%.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the fixed ratio value, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
NOTE :
Please note that the strategy is backtested from 2017-01-01. As the timeframe is 8h, this strategy is a medium/long-term strategy. That's why only 51 trades were closed. Be careful, as the test sample is small and performance may not necessarily reflect what may happen in the future.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)
Rate of Change StrategyRate of Change Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on the Rate of Change indicator. It compares the current price with that of a user-defined period of time ago. This makes it easy to spot trends and even speculative bubbles. The strategy is long term and very risky, which is why we've added a Stop Loss. There's also a money management method that allows you to reinvest part of your profits or reduce the size of your orders in the event of substantial losses.
RATE OF CHANGE (ROC) :
As explained above, the ROC is used to situate the current price compared to that of a certain period of time ago. The formula for calculating ROC in relation to the previous year is as follows :
ROC (365) = (close/close (365) - 1) * 100
With this formula we can find out how many percent the change in the current price is compared with 365 days ago, and thus assess the trend.
PARAMETERS :
ROC Length : Length of the ROC to be calculated. The current price is compared with that of the selected length ago.
ROC Bubble Signal : ROC value indicating that we are in a bubble. This value varies enormously depending on the financial product. For example, in the equity market, a bubble exists when ROC = 40, whereas in cryptocurrencies, a bubble exists when ROC = 150.
Stop Loss (in %) : Stop Loss value in percentage. This is the maximum trade value percentage that can be lost in a single trade.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. The default is 400, which means that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by an amount chosen by the user.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot has been used to test the different parameters and determine which ones maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD in 1D timeframe with the following parameters :
ROC Length = 365
ROC Bubble Signal = 180
Stop Loss (in %) = 6
LONG CONDITION :
We are in a LONG position if ROC (365) > 0 for at least two days. This allows us to limit noise and irrelevant signals to ensure that the ROC remains positive.
SHORT CONDITION :
We are in a SHORT position if ROC (365) < 0 for at least two days. We also open a SHORT position when the speculative bubble is about to burst. If ROC (365) > 180, we're in a bubble. If the bubble has been in existence for at least a week and the ROC falls back below this threshold, we can expect the asset to return to reasonable prices, and thus a downward trend. So we're opening a SHORT position to take advantage of this upcoming decline.
EXIT RULES FOR WINNING TRADE :
The strategy is self-regulating. We don't exit a LONG trade until a SHORT signal has arrived, and vice versa. So, to exit a winning position, you have to wait for the entry signal of the opposite position.
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy is very risky, and we can easily end up on the wrong side of the trade. That's why we're going to manage our risk with a Stop Loss, limiting our losses as a percentage of the trade's value. By default, this percentage is set at 6%. Each trade will therefore take a maximum loss of 6%.
If the SL has been triggered, it probably means we were on the wrong side. This is why we change the direction of the trade when a SL is triggered. For example, if we were SHORT and lost 6% of the trade value, the strategy will close this losing trade and open a long position without taking into account the ROC value. This allows us to be in position all the time and not miss the best opportunities.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
NOTE :
Please note that the strategy is backtested from 2017-01-01. As the timeframe is 1D, this strategy is a medium/long-term strategy. That's why only 34 trades were closed. Be careful, as the test sample is small and performance may not necessarily reflect what may happen in the future.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)
RSI & Backed-Weighted MA StrategyRSI & MA Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on two well-known indicators that work best together: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average (MA). We're going to use the RSI as a trend-follower indicator, rather than a reversal indicator as most are used to. To the signals sent by the RSI, we'll add a condition on the chart's MA, filtering out irrelevant signals and considerably increasing our winning rate. This is a medium/long-term strategy. There's also a money management method enabling us to reinvest part of the profits or reduce the size of orders in the event of substantial losses.
RSI :
The RSI is one of the best-known and most widely used indicators in trading. Its purpose is to warn traders when an asset is overbought or oversold. It was designed to send reversal signals, but we're going to use it as a trend indicator by increasing its length to 20. The RSI formula is as follows :
RSI (n) = 100 - (100 / (1 + (H (n)/L (n))))
With n the length of the RSI, H(n) the average of days closing above the open and L(n) the average of days closing below the open.
MA :
The Moving Average is also widely used in technical analysis, to smooth out variations in an asset. The SMA formula is as follows :
SMA (n) = (P1 + P2 + ... + Pn) / n
where n is the length of the MA.
However, an SMA does not weight any of its terms, which means that the price 10 days ago has the same importance as the price 2 days ago or today's price... That's why in this strategy we use a RWMA, i.e. a back-weighted moving average. It weights old prices more heavily than new ones. This will enable us to limit the impact of short-term variations and focus on the trend that was dominating. The RWMA used weights :
The 4 most recent terms by : 100 / (4+(n-4)*1.30)
The other oldest terms by : weight_4_first_term*1.30
So the older terms are weighted 1.30 more than the more recent ones. The moving average thus traces a trend that accentuates past values and limits the noise of short-term variations.
PARAMETERS :
RSI Length : Lenght of RSI. Default is 20.
MA Type : Choice between a SMA or a RWMA which permits to minimize the impact of short term reversal. Default is RWMA.
MA Length : Length of the selected MA. Default is 19.
RSI Long Signal : Minimum value of RSI to send a LONG signal. Default is 60.
RSI Short signal : Maximum value of RSI to send a SHORT signal. Default is 40.
ROC MA Long Signal : Maximum value of Rate of Change MA to send a LONG signal. Default is 0.
ROC MA Short signal : Minimum value of Rate of Change MA to send a SHORT signal. Default is 0.
TP activation in multiple of ATR : Threshold value to trigger trailing stop Take Profit. This threshold is calculated as multiple of the ATR (Average True Range). Default value is 5 meaning that to trigger the trailing TP the price need to move 5*ATR in the right direction.
Trailing TP in percentage : Percentage value of trailing Take Profit. This Trailing TP follows the profit if it increases, remaining selected percentage below it, but stops if the profit decreases. Default is 3%.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. Default is 400, which means that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by a user-selected amount.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot has been used to test the different parameters and determine which ones maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD with a timeframe set to 6h. Parameters are set as follows :
MA type: RWMA
MA Length: 19
RSI Long Signal: >60
RSI Short Signal : <40
ROC MA Long Signal : <0
ROC MA Short Signal : >0
TP Activation in multiple ATR : 5
Trailing TP in percentage : 3
ENTER RULES :
The principle is very simple:
If the asset is overbought after a bear market, we are LONG.
If the asset is oversold after a bull market, we are SHORT.
We have defined a bear market as follows : Rate of Change (20) RWMA < 0
We have defined a bull market as follows : Rate of Change (20) RWMA > 0
The Rate of Change is calculated using this formula : (RWMA/RWMA(20) - 1)*100
Overbought is defined as follows : RSI > 60
Oversold is defined as follows : RSI < 40
LONG CONDITION :
RSI > 60 and (RWMA/RWMA(20) - 1)*100 < -1
SHORT CONDITION :
RSI < 40 and (RWMA/RWMA(20) - 1)*100 > 1
EXIT RULES FOR WINNING TRADE :
We have a trailing TP allowing us to exit once the price has reached the "TP Activation in multiple ATR" parameter, i.e. 5*ATR by default in the profit direction. TP trailing is triggered at this point, not limiting our gains, and securing our profits at 3% below this trigger threshold.
Remember that the True Range is : maximum(H-L, H-C(1), C-L(1))
with C : Close, H : High, L : Low
The Average True Range is therefore the average of these TRs over a length defined by default in the strategy, i.e. 20.
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy may incur losses. The method for limiting losses is to set a Stop Loss equal to 3*ATR. This means that if the price moves against our position and reaches three times the ATR, we exit with a loss.
Sometimes the ATR can result in a SL set below 10% of the trade value, which is not acceptable. In this case, we set the SL at 10%, limiting losses to a maximum of 10%.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)
Narrow Range StrategyNarrow Range Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on the Narrow Range Day concept, implying that low volatility will generate higher volatility in the days ahead. The strategy sends us buy and sell signals with well-defined profit targets. It's a medium/long-term strategy. There's also a money management method that allows us to reinvest part of the profits or reduce the size of orders in the event of substantial losses.
NARROW RANGE (NR) DAY :
A Narrow Range Day is a day in which price variations are included in those of a specific day some time before. The high and low of this specific day form the "reference range". In general, we compare these variations with those of 4 or 7 days ago. The mathematical formula for finding an NR4 is :
If low > low(4) and high < high(4) :
nr = true
This implies that the current low is greater than the low of 4 days ago, and the current high is smaller than the high of 4 days ago. So today's volatility is lower than that of 4 days ago, and may be a sign of high volatility to come.
PARAMETERS :
Narrow Range Length : Corresponds to the number of candles back to compare current volatility. The default is 4, allowing comparison of current volatility with that of 4 candles ago.
Stop Loss : Percentage of the reference range on which to set an exit order to limit losses. The minimum value is 0.001, while the maximum is 1. The default value is 0.35.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. The default is 400, which means that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by an amount chosen by the user.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot was used to test NR4 and NR7 with all possible Stop Losses in order to find out which combination generates the highest return on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD while limiting the drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal with an NR4 and a SL of 35% of the reference range size in 5D timeframe.
BUY AND SHORT SIGNALS :
When an NR is spotted, we create two stop orders on the high and low of the reference range. As soon as there's a breakout from this reference range (shown in blue on the chart), we open a position. We're LONG if there's a breakout on the high and SHORT if there's a breakout on the low. Executing a stop order cancels the second stop order.
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy is subject to losses. We manage our risk with Stop Losses. The user is free to enter a SL as a percentage of the reference range. The maximum amount risked per trade therefore depends on the size of the range. The larger the range, the greater the risk. That's why we have set a maximum Stop Loss to 10% to limiting risks per trade.
The special feature of this strategy is that it targets a precise profit objective. This corresponds to the size of the reference range at the top of the high if you're LONG, or at the bottom of the low if you're short. In the same way, the larger the reference range, the greater the potential profits.
The risk reward remains the same for all trades and amounts to : 100/35 = 2.86. If the reference range is too high, we have set a SL to 10% of the trade value to limit losses. In that case, the risk reward is less than 2.86.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
NOTE :
Please note that the strategy is backtested from 2017-01-01. As the timeframe is 5D, this strategy is a medium/long-term strategy. That's why only 37 trades were closed. Be careful, as the test sample is small and performance may not necessarily reflect what may happen in the future.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)
hamster-bot MRS 2 (simplified version) MRS - Mean Reversion Strategy (Countertrend) (Envelope strategy)
This script does not claim to be unique and does not mislead anyone. Even the unattractive backtest result is attached. The source code is open. The idea has been described many times in various sources. But at the same time, their collection in one place provides unique opportunities.
Published by popular demand and for ease of use. so that users can track the development of the script and can offer their ideas in the comments. Otherwise, you have to communicate in several telegram chats.
Representative of the family of counter-trend strategies. The basis of the strategy is Mean reversion . You can also read about the Envelope strategy .
Mean reversion , or reversion to the mean, is a theory used in finance that suggests that asset price volatility and historical returns eventually will revert to the long-run mean or average level of the entire dataset.
The strategy is very simple. Has very few settings. Good for beginners to get acquainted with algorithmic trading. A simple adjustment will help avoid overfitting. There are many variations of this strategy, but for understanding it is better to start with this implementation.
Principle of operation.
1)
A conventional MA is being built. (fuchsia line). A limit order is placed on this line to close the position.
2)
(green line) A limit order is placed on this line to open a long position
3)
(red line) A limit order is placed on this line to open a short position
Attention!
Please note that a limit order is used. Conclude that the strategy has a limited capacity. And the results obtained on low-liquid instruments will be too high in the tester. On real auctions there will be a different result.
Note for testing the strategy in the spot market:
When testing in the spot market, do not include both long and short at the same time. It is recommended to test only the long mode on the spot. Short mode for more advanced users.
Settings:
Available types of moving averages:
SMA
EMA
TEMA - triple exponential moving average
DEMA - Double Exponential Moving Average
ZLEMA - Zero lag exponential moving average
WMA - weighted moving average
Hma - Hull Moving Average
Thma - Triple Exponential Hull Moving Average
Ehma - Exponential Hull Moving Average
H - MA built based on highs for n candles | ta.highest(len)
L - MA built based on lows for n candles | ta.lowest(len)
DMA - Donchian Moving Average
A Kalman filter can be applied to all MA
The peculiarity of the strategy is a large selection of MA and the possibility of shifting lines. You can set up a reverse trending strategy on the Donchian channel for example.
Use Long - enable/disable opening a Long position
Use Short - enable/disable opening a Short position
Lot Long, % - % allocated from the deposit for opening a Long position. In the spot market, do not use % greater than 100%
Lot Short, % - allocated % of the deposit for opening a Short position
Start date - the beginning of the testing period
End date - the end of the testing period (Example: only August 2020 can be tested)
Mul - multiplier. Used to offset lines. Example:
Mul = 0.99 is shift -1%
Mul = 1.01 is shift +1%
Non-strict recommendations:
1) Test the SPOT market on crypto exchanges. (The countertrend strategy has liquidation risk on futures)
2) Symbols altcoin/bitcoin or altcoin/altcoin. Example: ETH/BTC or DOGE/ETH
3) Timeframe is usually 1 hour
If the script passes moderation, I will supplement it by adding separate settings for closing long and short positions according to their MA
